WINTER SPLIT REGIONAL 1 - DAYS 3 AND 4 PREDICTION
November 28, 2020
So, today is day 3 of
the Winter Split Regional 1 of NA and I will analyze the brackets we have in
this moment and make a prediction on who is going to take it all on
championship day which is tomorrow.
I am going to start with the upper bracket in which we have the following
teams: Version1, Rogue, G2, eUnited, Ghost, Alpine, Envy and the Knights.
The first game is Version 1 vs Rogue. Both teams did a drastic roster change
after the Fall split. V1 added Comm in place of AxB and Rogue replaced Kronovi
with Taroco. We have a very experienced team vs a very young one. But in the
end I think that what is going to cause a difference in this series is the solo
plays, which Rogue has in their favor having one of the best mechanical players
in Firstkiller and a runner up in Turinturo. So my guess for this series is 3-1
in favor of Rogue.
The second game is G2 vs eUnited. This is going to be pretty straightforward.
G2 will SWEEP eUnited. During day 1 of the regional and during The Grid 2 weeks
ago we have seen a G2 that dominated almost every team, knocking out Team Envy
and just falling short in a game 7 against NRG. In the other hand, we have a
very inexperienced team with 2 of their 3 players having their debut just last
split. And this lack of experience is what is going to cost eUnited the series.
Third game is Ghost vs Alpine. No one expected Ghost to be here while Alpine
has shown they can be consistent with their play. But since Ghost beat NRG and
have shown they can have really good series, I have them taking this match in 5
games. But honestly it wouldn’t surprise me if I’m wrong because this team has
shown they are not consistent at all. While Percy, Majicbear and Jordan have
been toe to toe with the best in NA.
Fourth game is Team Envy vs Pittsburgh Knights. This series is going to be very
similar to the G2 one. Team Envy is going to show that experience that PK lacks
and their team plays will take them to the win. Also, PK just did a roster move
so they probably still don’t have the chemistry, which can be important factor
that could even define the match. So this is a sweep for Team Envy.
Next games are the winners semifinals. These matches are based on my
predictions for the first 4 series of the day. Which means they are completely
hypothetical.
Game 1 is G2 vs Rogue. This is a matchup we have seen several times during the
Fall Split and the Grid, and Rogue still haven’t managed to show they can beat
G2 play style. While G2 have won against them multiple times and may of them
were complete dominations. So I have G2 taking this matchup 4-1 games.
Game 2 is Ghost Gaming vs Team Envy. They faced each other during the Grid a
couple of times when Ghost was omelette and they had Luke instead of Mectos
when after a very promising offseason, they didn’t step up their game and
failed to compete against top teams. Now with the roster change things might
take a different path, but certainly you don’t want to start experiencing with
Envy. So I have Envy taking the series 4-0.
My winners finals is G2 vs Envy. This will be a very entertaining series between 2 of the Big 4 of NA. Last split G2 failed to perform on championship day while Envy won Fall Regional 3. It will all come down to how G2 performs. If they show up then they can win easily. But I’m not confident in that. Still, I have G2 winning in 6 games.
Now we will go down to the lower bracket where again, all will be hypothetical
since these matches all depend on winners quarterfinals.
First series will be eUnited vs NRG. No one expected NRG to be in lowers so
early in the tournament, some never expected them to drop a game, but here they
are, one more loss and they are out. Fortunately for them, they are facing a
team really similar to them, 2 players with insane mechanics in each team which
are jstn and Squishy for NRG and Wonda and Tristn for eU. Plus the brain of the
team in Garret and Ayjacks. In the end, experience will decide this matchup but
I think it will be close. So NRG takes it in 5.
Next series is Version1 against Kansas City Pioneers. Another team no one
expected to see this early in the lower bracket. This is going to be a
entertaining series to watch in which team chemistry may play a huge role. And
KCP clearly wins that so I have them taking the series in 5 games.
Third game is PK vs SSG. For everyone’s surprise, SSG lost their first matchup
and dropped to the lower bracket. And unfortunately for PK, they have to face
the reigning champions of NA. Even though SSG is not in their best moment,
their players solo plays capacity is enough for them to win. So I predict a 3-1
win for SSG.
The final game for losers round 3 is Alpine vs Soniqs. The Soniqs are playing
their best rocket league in a long time and they demonstrated it when they
defeated The Peeps. So I have them taking the series in 4 games, but again, I
wouldn’t be surprised if Alpine takes it because they are more than capable.
Starting the next round we have NRG vs KCP. This is a very tough matchup to
predict since both teams are not in their best moment and have shown that can
beat each other in multiple occasions. I have this series going all the way to
5 games and NRG taking the series. This because they have shown that they are
able to win decisive games, doing this just 2 weeks ago during the grid when
they won 2 consecutive game 7s against SSG and G2. And to be honest, I don’t
see KCP beating NRG this weekend.
Second game is SSG vs Soniqs. Space Station had trouble last week with XSET,
winning 3-1 and all games went to OT. The Soniqs have a similar play style to
XSET, so they might give competition to SSG. I see this game going to 5 games,
but in this types of series, experience is a huge factor and it balances more
towards Space Station. So I have them advancing to the next round.
Losers quarterfinals start with Ghost vs NRG. The rematch. Ghost relegated NRG
to the lower bracket on day 1 of the tournament and they meet again. But this
time the outcome will be different. NRG will be prepared to play against them
and this time they won’t make all the mistakes they committed during the first
series. So NRG will win 4-1 games.
Next game is Space Station vs Rogue. And I will be really straightforward with
this game. If SSG continue playing how they played last weekend, they don’t
stand a chance against Rogue. This Rogue team bases its offense in solo plays.
So unless First and Turo are having a off day, they will take the series and my
prediction is that they will do it in 6 games.
The next round will only have the matchup between NRG and Rogue. To be honest,
I don’t see a way in which Rogue can defeat NRG. This is the furthest they have
come in RLCS, a top 4 finish, something they couldn’t accomplish last split.
This series is going to be a close one, but NRG will take it in 7.
To finish this lower bracket, we have the matchup between Envy and NRG. And
unless NRG get in peak form and play out of their minds like in Fall Split
Regional 2, Envy is going to take the series. The main factor here is going to
be the mind of the players, and this time Envy wins in this category. Mainly
because they have only played 1 series while NRG will be entering their 3rd and
have almost no break between the second and this one. So Envy will be more
fresh and will take the series in 7 games.
Finally, my grand final is G2 vs Envy. And as I already said before, this all
comes down on if G2 will show up. Envy is a very consistent team so we can
expect them to play good. But G2 is not the same. But let’s not forget that
Envy will have to win 2 bo7 to win the regional, something I don’t see
happening. So my prediction is that G2 is taking it all this Regional and
beating Envy in 7 games during the first series.
Now we just have to wait until later today to see if my predictions were
accurate or extremely inaccurate. Let’s hope we see some great games and that
the best team wins.
Dont forget to follow me on twitter wehere I will comment my thoughts while watching the games. Also subscribe to my channel if you like my posts. See you guys on Monday when we will see if my predictions where correct.
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